{"publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","version":"1.1","title":{"pl":"Rynek złomu miedzi w krajach Unii Europejskiej w latach 2026–2031","en":"Copper scrap market in the European Union member states 2026–2031"},"url":"https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","data":[{"id":"R03-K-EU27-COLLECTION-RATE-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – stopa zbiórki (zbiórka / wyroby wycofane, bez zasobu uśpionego) w 2031 r.","en":"EU-27 – collection rate (collection / end-of-life products, excluding the dormant stock) in 2031"},"value":65.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":60.9,"value_high":70.1,"unit":"%","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_pl":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_en":"Key figure; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-COLLECTION-RATE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-COLLECTION-RATE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-EU27-COLLECTION-RATE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-COLLECTION-RATE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-EU27-GRADE-CU-SHARE-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – udział gatunku 7404 00 10 w zawartości Cu podaży w 2031 r.","en":"EU-27 – share of grade 7404 00 10 in the Cu content of supply in 2031"},"value":53.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":49.2,"value_high":58.8,"unit":"%","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_pl":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_en":"Key figure; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-GRADE-CU-SHARE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-GRADE-CU-SHARE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-EU27-GRADE-CU-SHARE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-GRADE-CU-SHARE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-ART40","label":{"pl":"Zmiana wywozu netto złomu poza UE 2025–2031, UE-27 – skutek art. 40 rozporządzenia (UE) 2024/1157 (średnia losowań)","en":"Change in net scrap exports outside the EU 2025–2031, EU-27 – effect of Art. 40 of Regulation (EU) 2024/1157 (mean of draws)"},"value":-96.5,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2025–2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Rozkład średniej zmiany −152,6 tys. t Cu (98,3 → −54,3) na kontrfakty modelu; bez przedziału (różnica średnich).","note_pl":"Rozkład średniej zmiany −152,6 tys. t Cu (98,3 → −54,3) na kontrfakty modelu; bez przedziału (różnica średnich).","note_en":"Decomposition of the mean change of −152.6 kt (98.3 → −54.3) by model counterfactuals; no interval (difference of means).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-ART40 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-ART40","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-ART40","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-ART40.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-OTHER","label":{"pl":"Zmiana wywozu netto złomu poza UE 2025–2031, UE-27 – pozostałe czynniki (popyt przetwórców, poziom zużycia, zbiórka, złom nowy) (średnia losowań)","en":"Change in net scrap exports outside the EU 2025–2031, EU-27 – other factors (processor demand, use level, collection, new scrap) (mean of draws)"},"value":28.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2025–2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Rozkład średniej zmiany −152,6 tys. t Cu (98,3 → −54,3) na kontrfakty modelu; bez przedziału (różnica średnich).","note_pl":"Rozkład średniej zmiany −152,6 tys. t Cu (98,3 → −54,3) na kontrfakty modelu; bez przedziału (różnica średnich).","note_en":"Decomposition of the mean change of −152.6 kt (98.3 → −54.3) by model counterfactuals; no interval (difference of means).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-OTHER – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-OTHER","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-OTHER","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-OTHER.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4","label":{"pl":"Zmiana wywozu netto złomu poza UE 2025–2031, UE-27 – skutek projektów zwiększenia przerobu złomu w hutach (D4) (średnia losowań)","en":"Change in net scrap exports outside the EU 2025–2031, EU-27 – effect of smelter scrap throughput projects (D4) (mean of draws)"},"value":-84.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2025–2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Rozkład średniej zmiany −152,6 tys. t Cu (98,3 → −54,3) na kontrfakty modelu; bez przedziału (różnica średnich).","note_pl":"Rozkład średniej zmiany −152,6 tys. t Cu (98,3 → −54,3) na kontrfakty modelu; bez przedziału (różnica średnich).","note_en":"Decomposition of the mean change of −152.6 kt (98.3 → −54.3) by model counterfactuals; no interval (difference of means).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – podaż złomu razem (poużytkowy i nowy) w 2031 r.","en":"EU-27 – total scrap supply (post-consumer and new) in 2031"},"value":2028.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1856.6,"value_high":2207,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_pl":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_en":"Key figure; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – wywóz netto złomu poza UE w 2031 r.","en":"EU-27 – net scrap exports outside the EU in 2031"},"value":-52.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-305.1,"value_high":192.7,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_pl":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_en":"Key figure; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego w 2031 r.","en":"EU-27 – post-consumer scrap collection in 2031"},"value":1426.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1319.7,"value_high":1533.6,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_pl":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_en":"Key figure; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-CAGR","label":{"pl":"UE-27 – zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, średnie roczne tempo 2025–2031","en":"EU-27 – post-consumer scrap collection, compound annual growth 2025–2031"},"value":-0.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-1.3,"value_high":0.6,"unit":"%/r.","currency":null,"period":"2025–2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_pl":"Liczba kluczowa; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_en":"Key figure; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-CAGR – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-CAGR","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-CAGR","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-CAGR.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"Złom miedzi razem (poużytkowy zebrany i nowy), UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: CRMA – krajowe programy zbiórki","en":"Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), EU-27, 2031 – scenario: CRMA – national collection programmes"},"value":2067.6,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1893,"value_high":2248.8,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 39,7 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 39,7 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 39.7 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: CRMA – krajowe programy zbiórki","en":"Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: CRMA – national collection programmes"},"value":-17.5,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-274.6,"value_high":228.4,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 33,4 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 33,4 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 33.4 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: CRMA – krajowe programy zbiórki","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: CRMA – national collection programmes"},"value":1467.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1355.4,"value_high":1575.5,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 39,7 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 39,7 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 39.7 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-USE-2031","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: CRMA – krajowe programy zbiórki","en":"Scrap use, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: CRMA – national collection programmes"},"value":2081,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1776.6,"value_high":2418.7,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 6,2 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 6,2 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 6.2 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-USE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-USE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-USE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-CRMA-SCRAP-USE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"Złom miedzi razem (poużytkowy zebrany i nowy), UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Bez rozporządzenia (UE) 2026/1738 (kontrfakt)","en":"Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Without Regulation (EU) 2026/1738 (counterfactual)"},"value":2012.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1841.7,"value_high":2190.6,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −15,5 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −15,5 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −15.5 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Bez rozporządzenia (UE) 2026/1738 (kontrfakt)","en":"Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Without Regulation (EU) 2026/1738 (counterfactual)"},"value":-66.6,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-317.7,"value_high":180.4,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −13,1 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −13,1 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −13.1 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Bez rozporządzenia (UE) 2026/1738 (kontrfakt)","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Without Regulation (EU) 2026/1738 (counterfactual)"},"value":1410.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1305.2,"value_high":1518.1,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −15,5 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −15,5 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −15.5 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-USE-2031","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Bez rozporządzenia (UE) 2026/1738 (kontrfakt)","en":"Scrap use, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Without Regulation (EU) 2026/1738 (counterfactual)"},"value":2071.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1768.7,"value_high":2409.5,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −2,4 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −2,4 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −2.4 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-USE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-USE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-USE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-ELV-COUNTERFACTUAL-SCRAP-USE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"Złom miedzi razem (poużytkowy zebrany i nowy), UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Wykaz art. 41 rozszerzony o kierunki azjatyckie","en":"Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Art. 41 list extended to Asian destinations"},"value":2057.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1886.5,"value_high":2234.4,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 29,6 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 29,6 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 29.6 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Wykaz art. 41 rozszerzony o kierunki azjatyckie","en":"Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Art. 41 list extended to Asian destinations"},"value":7.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-297.9,"value_high":297.4,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 58,5 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 58,5 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 58.5 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Wykaz art. 41 rozszerzony o kierunki azjatyckie","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Art. 41 list extended to Asian destinations"},"value":1456.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1348.6,"value_high":1564,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 29,6 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 29,6 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 29.6 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-USE-2031","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Wykaz art. 41 rozszerzony o kierunki azjatyckie","en":"Scrap use, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Art. 41 list extended to Asian destinations"},"value":2046.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1719,"value_high":2408.5,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −28,8 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −28,8 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −28.8 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-USE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-USE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-USE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-EXTENDED-LIST-SCRAP-USE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"Złom miedzi razem (poużytkowy zebrany i nowy), UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Bez art. 40 rozporządzenia (UE) 2024/1157 (kontrfakt)","en":"Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Without Art. 40 of Regulation (EU) 2024/1157 (counterfactual)"},"value":2076.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1905.1,"value_high":2255.1,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 48,6 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 48,6 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 48.6 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Bez art. 40 rozporządzenia (UE) 2024/1157 (kontrfakt)","en":"Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Without Art. 40 of Regulation (EU) 2024/1157 (counterfactual)"},"value":45.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-292.9,"value_high":366.3,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 96,5 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 96,5 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 96.5 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Bez art. 40 rozporządzenia (UE) 2024/1157 (kontrfakt)","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Without Art. 40 of Regulation (EU) 2024/1157 (counterfactual)"},"value":1475.5,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1366.5,"value_high":1584,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 48,6 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 48,6 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 48.6 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-USE-2031","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Bez art. 40 rozporządzenia (UE) 2024/1157 (kontrfakt)","en":"Scrap use, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Without Art. 40 of Regulation (EU) 2024/1157 (counterfactual)"},"value":2027.6,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1680.9,"value_high":2404.9,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −48,0 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −48,0 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −48.0 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-USE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-USE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-USE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-NO-ART40-SCRAP-USE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"Złom miedzi razem (poużytkowy zebrany i nowy), UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Cyfrowy paszport produktu","en":"Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Digital product passport"},"value":2035.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1862.9,"value_high":2214.9,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 6,8 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 6,8 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 6.8 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Cyfrowy paszport produktu","en":"Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Digital product passport"},"value":-46.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-298.8,"value_high":199.2,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 5,8 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 5,8 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 5.8 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Cyfrowy paszport produktu","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Digital product passport"},"value":1432.5,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1325.8,"value_high":1540.7,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 6,8 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 6,8 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 6.8 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-USE-2031","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Cyfrowy paszport produktu","en":"Scrap use, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Digital product passport"},"value":2075.3,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1771.8,"value_high":2413.2,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 1,0 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 1,0 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 1.0 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-USE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-USE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-USE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-PASSPORT-SCRAP-USE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"Złom miedzi razem (poużytkowy zebrany i nowy), UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Recesja w budownictwie","en":"Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Construction recession"},"value":1987.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1820.1,"value_high":2159.5,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −41,6 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −41,6 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −41.6 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Recesja w budownictwie","en":"Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Construction recession"},"value":3.4,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-237.2,"value_high":239.6,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 57,1 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 57,1 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 57.1 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Recesja w budownictwie","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Construction recession"},"value":1416.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1310.3,"value_high":1524,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −9,6 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −9,6 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −9.6 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-USE-2031","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Recesja w budownictwie","en":"Scrap use, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Construction recession"},"value":1976.5,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1687.9,"value_high":2295.5,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −98,7 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −98,7 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −98.7 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-USE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-USE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-USE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-RECESSION-SCRAP-USE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"Złom miedzi razem (poużytkowy zebrany i nowy), UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Popyt hut – projekty w terminie","en":"Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Smelter demand – projects on time"},"value":2040,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1868.1,"value_high":2217.1,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 12,4 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 12,4 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 12.4 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Popyt hut – projekty w terminie","en":"Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Smelter demand – projects on time"},"value":-125.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-367.8,"value_high":102.6,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −76,7 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego −76,7 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base −76.7 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Popyt hut – projekty w terminie","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Smelter demand – projects on time"},"value":1438.5,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1333.5,"value_high":1545.8,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 12,4 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 12,4 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 12.4 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-USE-2031","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Popyt hut – projekty w terminie","en":"Scrap use, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Smelter demand – projects on time"},"value":2166.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1869.7,"value_high":2491.6,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 89,1 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 89,1 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 89.1 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-USE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-USE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-USE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SMELTER-DEMAND-SCRAP-USE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"Złom miedzi razem (poużytkowy zebrany i nowy), UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Sortowanie sensorowe","en":"Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Sensor-based sorting"},"value":2031.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1860.1,"value_high":2210.7,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 3,3 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 3,3 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 3.3 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Sortowanie sensorowe","en":"Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Sensor-based sorting"},"value":-49.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-302.5,"value_high":196.1,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 2,7 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 2,7 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 2.7 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Sortowanie sensorowe","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Sensor-based sorting"},"value":1429.7,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1322.9,"value_high":1537,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 3,3 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 3,3 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 3.3 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-OLD-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-OLD-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-OLD-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-OLD-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-USE-2031","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Sortowanie sensorowe","en":"Scrap use, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: Sensor-based sorting"},"value":2074.8,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1771.3,"value_high":2413.3,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 0,6 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 0,6 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 0.6 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-USE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-USE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-USE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-SORTING-SCRAP-USE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-2031","label":{"pl":"Złom miedzi razem (poużytkowy zebrany i nowy), UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Cel zbiórki ZSEE 65%","en":"Copper scrap, total (post-consumer collected and new), EU-27, 2031 – scenario: WEEE collection target 65%"},"value":2057.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1884,"value_high":2236.6,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 28,4 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 28,4 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 28.4 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","label":{"pl":"Wywóz netto złomu poza UE, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Cel zbiórki ZSEE 65%","en":"Net scrap exports outside the EU, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: WEEE collection target 65%"},"value":-29.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":-281.2,"value_high":217.6,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 24,4 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 24,4 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 24.4 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-NET-EXPORT-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-OLD-2031","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2031 – scenariusz: Cel zbiórki ZSEE 65%","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, EU-27, 2031 – scenario: WEEE collection target 65%"},"value":1454.5,"value_sd":null,"value_low":1347.2,"value_high":1562.9,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 28,4 tys. t Cu.","note_pl":"Mediana scenariusza; przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl); różnica średnich wobec bazowego 28,4 tys. t Cu.","note_en":"Scenario median; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile); difference of means vs base 28.4 kt.","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; 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dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-USE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-USE-2031","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-USE-2031","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-K-SCEN-WEEE-SCRAP-USE-2031.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2026","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, Austria, 2026 (wynik modelu; przedział 80%)","en":"Post-consumer scrap collection, Austria, 2026 (model result; 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10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2026","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-N-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2026","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-AT-SCRAP-OLD-2026.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2026","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, Belgia, 2026 (wynik modelu; 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10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2026","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-N-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2026","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-BE-SCRAP-OLD-2026.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2026","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, Bułgaria, 2026 (wynik modelu; 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10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2026","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-N-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2026","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-BG-SCRAP-OLD-2026.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-CY-SCRAP-OLD-2026","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, Cypr, 2026 (wynik modelu; 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10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2026","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-N-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2026","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-CZ-SCRAP-OLD-2026.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-DE-SCRAP-OLD-2026","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, Niemcy, 2026 (wynik modelu; 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10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-ALLOY-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-ALLOY-2026","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-ALLOY-2026","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-ALLOY-2026.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-BRASS-2026","label":{"pl":"Złom gatunku 7404 00 91 (mosiądze), UE-27, 2026 (wynik modelu; 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10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-BRASS-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-BRASS-2026","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-BRASS-2026","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-BRASS-2026.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-GRADE-CU-2026","label":{"pl":"Złom gatunku 7404 00 10 (miedź), UE-27, 2026 (wynik modelu; 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10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-2026","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-2026","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-NEW-2026.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2026","label":{"pl":"Zbiórka złomu poużytkowego, UE-27, 2026 (wynik modelu; 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10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2026","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2026","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-OLD-2026.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-USE-2026","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu, UE-27, 2026 (wynik modelu; 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10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpadów), bilanse przepływów miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania spółek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-USE-SEMIS-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-USE-SEMIS-2026","html_en":"https://ai-waw.com/en/facts/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-USE-SEMIS-2026","json":"https://ai-waw.com/fakty/R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-USE-SEMIS-2026.json"}},{"id":"R03-N-EU27-SCRAP-USE-SMELTERS-2026","label":{"pl":"Zużycie złomu w hutach i rafineriach, UE-27, 2026 (wynik modelu; przedział 80%)","en":"Scrap use in smelters and refineries, EU-27, 2026 (model result; 80% interval)"},"value":898.1,"value_sd":null,"value_low":700.3,"value_high":1117.8,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2026","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Rok 2026 – wynik modelu; losowania ważone obserwacją wywozu netto poza UE (Comext I–VIII 2026); przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_pl":"Rok 2026 – wynik modelu; losowania ważone obserwacją wywozu netto poza UE (Comext I–VIII 2026); przedział 80% (10.–90. percentyl).","note_en":"2026 – model result; draws weighted by the extra-EU net-export observation (Comext January–August 2026); 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowań; zespół modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku złomu miedzi w UE 2026–2031 – model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 państw, stopy zbiórki, złom nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 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