Data
Fact register
Every number published by ai-waw.com has a permanent address here: value, unit, period, area, primary source and a ready citation.
| Fact | Label | Value | Period | Area | Primary source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R04-S-K40P-USEFUL-2031 |
Model counterfactual: limit without the level cut – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -55.80 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-KD4-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Model counterfactual: no projects in the R04 register (equal to S6c) – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 114.4 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-KD4-USEFUL-2031 |
Model counterfactual: no projects in the R04 register (equal to S6c) – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -110.3 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S1-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Alloy sorting – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 7.10 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S1-USEFUL-2031 |
Alloy sorting – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 9 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S2A-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
UBC: full deposit roll-out – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 13.20 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S2A-USEFUL-2031 |
UBC: full deposit roll-out – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 2 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S2B-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
UBC: no new deposit systems – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -20.50 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S2B-USEFUL-2031 |
UBC: no new deposit systems – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -11 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3A-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Automotive: stronger dismantling and separation – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 17.40 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3A-USEFUL-2031 |
Automotive: stronger dismantling and separation – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 30.10 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3B-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Automotive: weaker dismantling and separation – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -14.30 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3B-USEFUL-2031 |
Automotive: weaker dismantling and separation – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -18.90 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3C-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
ELV Art. 39: earlier limits on used-vehicle exports – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 16.60 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3C-USEFUL-2031 |
ELV Art. 39: earlier limits on used-vehicle exports – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 0.10 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3D-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Current ELV routes maintained – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -17.40 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3D-USEFUL-2031 |
Current ELV routes maintained – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -23.70 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3E-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Faster drivetrain electrification – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -16.80 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S3E-USEFUL-2031 |
Faster drivetrain electrification – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -120.6 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S4-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Construction: clean profiles and demolition flows – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 20.80 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S4-USEFUL-2031 |
Construction: clean profiles and demolition flows – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 23 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5A-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
End-of-waste status: lower bound – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -191.6 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5A-USEFUL-2031 |
End-of-waste status: lower bound – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 41.50 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5B1-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Return to a trade measure: export duty (hypothesis) – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -47.70 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5B1-USEFUL-2031 |
Return to a trade measure: export duty (hypothesis) – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 13.70 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5B2-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Return to a trade measure: quota (hypothesis) – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -199.5 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5B2-USEFUL-2031 |
Return to a trade measure: quota (hypothesis) – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 61 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5C-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
End-of-waste status: upper bound – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 168.1 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5C-USEFUL-2031 |
End-of-waste status: upper bound – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -33.40 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5D-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Tightened end-of-waste status – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -365.7 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5D-USEFUL-2031 |
Tightened end-of-waste status – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 103.8 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5E-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Art. 41 list update from 2029 – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 242.2 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S5E-USEFUL-2031 |
Art. 41 list update from 2029 – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -28.80 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S6A-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Energy: path × 1.5 – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 0 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S6A-USEFUL-2031 |
Energy: path × 1.5 – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -0.80 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S6B-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Capacity: all projects in the R04 register – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -23.80 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S6B-USEFUL-2031 |
Capacity: all projects in the R04 register – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 21.30 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S6C-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Capacity: excluding projects not yet commissioned – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 114.4 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S6C-USEFUL-2031 |
Capacity: excluding projects not yet commissioned – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -110.3 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S7-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Decarbonisation: higher scrap demand – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -107.2 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S7-USEFUL-2031 |
Decarbonisation: higher scrap demand – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 90.10 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S8A-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Recession – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | 15.40 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S8A-USEFUL-2031 |
Recession – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -97.80 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S8B-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Growth – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -25.20 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S8B-USEFUL-2031 |
Growth – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | 148.6 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S9-NET-EXPORT-2031 |
Quality shock – net export difference vs S0, 2031 | -34 kt Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |
R04-S-S9-USEFUL-2031 |
Quality shock – usable Al difference vs S0, 2031 | -65.90 kt usable Al | 2031 | EU27 | S-AIWAW-R04-MODEL C |