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Fact register · R03-S-FR-SCRAP-BALANCE-2031

Scrap market balance (supply − domestic use), France, 2031 (forecast; 80% interval)

171.5 tys. t Cu

FR · 2031 · Cu copper

80% interval: 147.8 – 196.4 tys. t Cu (10th and 90th percentile of the forecast distribution)

Note: Median (p50) of 10,000 draws; 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).

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Primary source
EU copper scrap market forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks) · ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02
Source class
C
Checked
2026-10-28
Verification
model forecast
In forecast
Copper scrap market in the European Union member states 2026–2031 · AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1 · all facts of the analysis

How to cite this number

ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-S-FR-SCRAP-BALANCE-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031

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232.5 tys. t Cu
Post-consumer scrap collection, France, 2026 (model result; 80% interval) · FR · 2026
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82.40 tys. t Cu
Scrap use, France, 2031 (forecast; 80% interval) · FR · 2031
R03-S-FR-SCRAP-USE-2031