{"data":{"id":"R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4","label":{"pl":"Zmiana wywozu netto z\u0142omu poza UE 2025\u20132031, UE-27 \u2013 skutek projekt\u00f3w zwi\u0119kszenia przerobu z\u0142omu w hutach (D4) (\u015brednia losowa\u0144)","en":"Change in net scrap exports outside the EU 2025\u20132031, EU-27 \u2013 effect of smelter scrap throughput projects (D4) (mean of draws)"},"value":-84.9,"value_sd":null,"value_low":null,"value_high":null,"unit":"tys. t Cu","currency":null,"period":"2025\u20132031","area":"EU27","metal":"cu","cn_code":null,"verification":"forecast","note":"Decomposition of the mean change of \u2212152.6 kt (98.3 \u2192 \u221254.3) by model counterfactuals; no interval (difference of means).","note_pl":"Rozk\u0142ad \u015bredniej zmiany \u2212152,6 tys. t Cu (98,3 \u2192 \u221254,3) na kontrfakty modelu; bez przedzia\u0142u (r\u00f3\u017cnica \u015brednich).","note_en":"Decomposition of the mean change of \u2212152.6 kt (98.3 \u2192 \u221254.3) by model counterfactuals; no interval (difference of means).","publication":"AIWAW-2026-R03","source":{"key":"R03-MODEL","title":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026\u20132031 \u2013 ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","title_pl":"Prognoza rynku z\u0142omu miedzi w UE 2026\u20132031 \u2013 model ai-waw.com (bayesowski model zasobu 27 pa\u0144stw, stopy zbi\u00f3rki, z\u0142om nowy, gatunki CN 7404, bilans rynku; 10 000 losowa\u0144; zesp\u00f3\u0142 modeli AI do nowcastu i kontroli)","title_en":"EU copper scrap market forecast 2026\u20132031 \u2013 ai-waw.com model (Bayesian stock model of 27 member states, collection rates, new scrap, CN 7404 grades, market balance; 10,000 draws; AI model ensemble for the nowcast and checks)","publisher":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","publisher_pl":"ai-waw.com (obliczenia); dane: Eurostat (Comext, statystyki odpad\u00f3w), bilanse przep\u0142yw\u00f3w miedzi ai-waw.com, sprawozdania sp\u00f3\u0142ek, R01, R02","publisher_en":"ai-waw.com (calculations); data: Eurostat (Comext, waste statistics), ai-waw.com copper flow balances, company reports, R01, R02","url":null,"class":"C","license":null,"checked_on":"2026-10-28","archive_url":null},"cite":"ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R03 v1.1, fact R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4 \u2013 https:\/\/ai-waw.com\/prognozy\/rynek-zlomu-miedzi-ue-2026-2031","urls":{"html":"https:\/\/ai-waw.com\/fakty\/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4","html_en":"https:\/\/ai-waw.com\/en\/facts\/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4","json":"https:\/\/ai-waw.com\/fakty\/R03-K-EU27-NET-EXPORT-CHANGE-2025-2031-PROJECTS-D4.json"}}}