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Fact register · R02-K-SCEN-IMPORTS-SEMIS-2031

Scenario 'Extra-EU import surge' – copper and copper-alloy semis output (excluding wire rod), EU-27, 2031 (80% interval)

3,934.2 kt

EU27 · 2031 · Cu copper

80% interval: 3,285 – 4,693.2 tys. t (10th and 90th percentile of the forecast distribution)

Note: Named scenario: shift of the hybrid model's Monte Carlo draws under changed parameters; median and 80% interval.

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Primary source
Forecast of copper semi-finished products output in the EU 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com hybrid model (sectoral demand, trade, plants; IWCC anchor 2012–2025) · ai-waw.com (calculations); data: IWCC (Semis Production and Demand, End Use Summary), Eurostat PRODCOM, Comext, STS, production indicators; IMF; company reports
Source class
C
Checked
2026-10-17
Verification
model forecast
In forecast
Copper semi-finished products output in the EU 2026–2031 · AIWAW-2026-R02 v2.1 · all facts of the analysis

How to cite this number

ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R02 v2.1, fact R02-K-SCEN-IMPORTS-SEMIS-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/produkcja-wyrobow-z-miedzi-ue-2026-2031

Other facts from this publication

3,946.4 tys. t
EU-27: copper and copper-alloy semis output (excluding wire rod) in 2031 (80% interval) · EU27 · 2031
R02-K-EU27-SEMIS-2031
0.10 %/r.
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R02-K-EU27-SEMIS-ALLOY-BARS-PROFILES-CAGR
0.20 %/r.
Copper-alloy semis output, EU-27 – CAGR 2025–2031 · EU27 · 2025–2031
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-0.20 %/r.
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R02-K-EU27-SEMIS-ALLOY-SHEET-STRIP-CAGR
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Alloy tube output, EU-27 – CAGR 2025–2031 · EU27 · 2025–2031
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Copper-alloy wire output, EU-27 – CAGR 2025–2031 · EU27 · 2025–2031
R02-K-EU27-SEMIS-ALLOY-WIRE-CAGR
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Copper and copper-alloy semis output (excluding wire rod), EU-27 – CAGR 2025–2031 · EU27 · 2025–2031
R02-K-EU27-SEMIS-CAGR
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Copper rods, bars and sections output, EU-27 – CAGR 2025–2031 · EU27 · 2025–2031
R02-K-EU27-SEMIS-COPPER-BARS-PROFILES-CAGR