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Fact register · R01-S-CN-REFINED-SECONDARY-2031

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), China, 2031 (forecast)

4,105.4 kt

CN · 2031 · Cu copper

90% interval: 3,271.8 – 5,150.2 tys. t (5th and 95th percentile of Monte Carlo draws)

Note: Median (p50) of Monte Carlo draws; 90% interval (5th–95th percentile) after conformal calibration.

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Primary source
Refined copper production forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (bottom-up model of mines and refining, model ensemble, Monte Carlo with 10,000 draws) · ai-waw.com (calculations); data: USGS, BGS, national agencies, company reports, ICSG (comparison)
Source class
C
Checked
2026-10-17
Verification
model forecast
In forecast
Refined copper production 2026–2031 · AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3 · all facts of the analysis

How to cite this number

ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3, fact R01-S-CN-REFINED-SECONDARY-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/produkcja-miedzi-rafinowanej-2026-2031

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