Fact register · R01-S-CA-REFINED-PRIMARY-2031

Primary refined copper production, Canada, 2031 (forecast)

266.4 kt

CA · 2031 · Cu copper

90% interval: 231.5 – 306.6 tys. t (5th and 95th percentile of Monte Carlo draws)

Note: Median (p50) of Monte Carlo draws; 90% interval (5th–95th percentile) after conformal calibration.

Primary source: Refined copper production forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (bottom-up model of mines and refining, model ensemble, Monte Carlo with 10,000 draws) · ai-waw.com (calculations); data: USGS, BGS, national agencies, company reports, ICSG (comparison)
Source class: C
Checked: 2026-10-17
Verification: model forecast
In forecast: Refined copper production 2026–2031 · AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3 · all facts of the analysis

How to cite this number

ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3, fact R01-S-CA-REFINED-PRIMARY-2031 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/produkcja-miedzi-rafinowanej-2026-2031

526.1 tys. t

Copper mine production, Canada, 2026 (nowcast) · CA · 2026

R01-N-CA-MINE-2026

314.4 tys. t

Refined copper production, Canada, 2026 (nowcast) · CA · 2026

R01-N-CA-REFINED-2026

276.3 tys. t

Primary refined copper production, Canada, 2026 (nowcast) · CA · 2026

R01-N-CA-REFINED-PRIMARY-2026

38.10 tys. t

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), Canada, 2026 (nowcast) · CA · 2026

R01-N-CA-REFINED-SECONDARY-2026

535.8 tys. t

Copper mine production, Canada, 2027 (forecast) · CA · 2027

R01-S-CA-MINE-2027

467.1 tys. t

Copper mine production, Canada, 2031 (forecast) · CA · 2031

R01-S-CA-MINE-2031

309.9 tys. t

Refined copper production, Canada, 2027 (forecast) · CA · 2027

R01-S-CA-REFINED-2027

305.7 tys. t

Refined copper production, Canada, 2031 (forecast) · CA · 2031

R01-S-CA-REFINED-2031