Fact register · R01-N-JP-REFINED-2026

Refined copper production, Japan, 2026 (nowcast)

1,352.6 kt

JP · 2026 · Cu copper

80% interval: 1,274.3 – 1,435.2 tys. t (10th and 90th percentile of the forecast distribution)

Note: 2026 nowcast (monthly data Jan–Jul 2026); 80% interval (10th–90th percentile).

Primary source: Refined copper production forecast 2026–2031 – ai-waw.com model (bottom-up model of mines and refining, model ensemble, Monte Carlo with 10,000 draws) · ai-waw.com (calculations); data: USGS, BGS, national agencies, company reports, ICSG (comparison)
Source class: C
Checked: 2026-10-17
Verification: model forecast
In forecast: Refined copper production 2026–2031 · AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3 · all facts of the analysis

How to cite this number

ai-waw.com, AIWAW-2026-R01 v1.3, fact R01-N-JP-REFINED-2026 – https://ai-waw.com/prognozy/produkcja-miedzi-rafinowanej-2026-2031

905.4 tys. t

Primary refined copper production, Japan, 2026 (nowcast) · JP · 2026

R01-N-JP-REFINED-PRIMARY-2026

447.3 tys. t

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), Japan, 2026 (nowcast) · JP · 2026

R01-N-JP-REFINED-SECONDARY-2026

1,164.1 tys. t

Refined copper production, Japan, 2027 (forecast) · JP · 2027

R01-S-JP-REFINED-2027

983.2 tys. t

Refined copper production, Japan, 2031 (forecast) · JP · 2031

R01-S-JP-REFINED-2031

719.6 tys. t

Primary refined copper production, Japan, 2027 (forecast) · JP · 2027

R01-S-JP-REFINED-PRIMARY-2027

532.4 tys. t

Primary refined copper production, Japan, 2031 (forecast) · JP · 2031

R01-S-JP-REFINED-PRIMARY-2031

443.2 tys. t

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), Japan, 2027 (forecast) · JP · 2027

R01-S-JP-REFINED-SECONDARY-2027

443.8 tys. t

Secondary refined copper production (from scrap), Japan, 2031 (forecast) · JP · 2031

R01-S-JP-REFINED-SECONDARY-2031